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Red59
523421.1
587814.2
528221.9
Blue70
548614.7
360223.6
656929.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572040801005970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#11
21.90.7
20.421.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 7.7
29.61.0
22.823.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Second
21.10.7
17.518.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 2.4
3602
#14
23.61.0
21.222.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
5878
#35
14.20.7
11.912.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 0.5
5486
#17
14.71.0
10.311.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsEarned