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Red56
715011.3
656929.6
498811.4
Blue47
571412.0
609817.2
471516.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44381020305060705647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.0
23.924.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End9.0
red by 12.4
6098
#21
17.20.7
13.213.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
4988
#27
11.41.0
9.410.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.5
blue by 5.0
4715
#24
16.40.7
13.814.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Third
7150
#39
11.31.0
8.08.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 0.7
5714
#34
12.00.7
9.19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed