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Red32
725012.8
598913.5
258615.7
Blue58
634516.8
439015.2
439223.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414901020306070803258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#12
15.70.4
14.413.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End3.3
blue by 8.0
4392
#10
23.70.6
18.519.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Second
5989
#29
13.50.4
14.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 3.3
6345
#20
16.80.6
13.814.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
7250
#25
12.80.4
9.99.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.9
End3.4
blue by 2.4
4390
#33
15.20.6
14.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed