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Red33
507216.2
634516.8
598913.5
Blue67
609817.2
528221.9
657317.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444602060801003367

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6345
#20
16.81.0
12.011.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 5.1
5282
#11
21.91.5
19.721.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Second
5072
#22
16.21.0
15.314.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 1.5
6573
#30
17.71.5
16.618.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End2.8
Third
5989
#29
13.51.0
14.413.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 3.7
6098
#21
17.21.5
7.69.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed