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Red70
439015.2
439130.6
437716.9
Blue61
159621.1
531417.0
655820.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57533040506070807061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.4
27.527.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.8
End8.2
red by 9.5
1596
#15
21.10.5
17.317.8
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Second
4377
#32
16.90.4
11.111.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End4.5
blue by 4.0
20.90.5
18.819.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
Third
4390
#33
15.20.4
14.915.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End2.7
blue by 1.8
5314
#40
17.00.5
14.114.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed