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Red55
554720.4
548614.7
634516.8
Blue56
570911.4
439223.7
507216.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464430405060705556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#37
20.40.8
17.718.5
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 3.3
4392
#10
23.70.9
19.020.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Second
6345
#20
16.80.8
14.315.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 0.6
5072
#22
16.20.9
14.515.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Third
5486
#17
14.70.8
11.212.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End4.3
red by 3.3
5709
#28
11.40.9
8.49.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed