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Red68
471516.4
598913.5
439130.6
Blue65
437716.9
353722.8
778224.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605730405070806865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.8
27.928.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.8
End8.2
red by 6.2
24.40.5
20.821.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End8.8
Second
4715
#24
16.40.8
14.915.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
blue by 6.4
3537
#19
22.80.5
21.622.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
5989
#29
13.50.8
13.714.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 3.4
4377
#32
16.90.5
11.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsEarned