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Red50
360223.6
498811.4
497022.6
Blue52
258615.7
655820.9
634516.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555130406070805052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#14
23.60.1
23.923.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End4.1
red by 2.7
20.90.2
19.319.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
Second
22.60.1
17.517.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.1
End6.1
red by 5.8
6345
#20
16.80.2
15.115.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
4988
#27
11.40.1
10.410.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.5
blue by 4.3
2586
#12
15.70.2
13.914.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed