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Red44
611316.8
523421.1
439223.7
Blue43
571412.0
570216.4
781612.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584120804443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#10
23.70.8
20.019.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
red by 7.3
5702
#38
16.40.3
17.117.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Second
21.10.8
18.918.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
red by 9.0
7816
#16
12.20.3
11.311.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Third
16.80.8
16.515.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
red by 4.8
5714
#34
12.00.3
10.410.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed