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Red39
85718.6
781612.2
548614.7
Blue62
159621.1
258615.7
360223.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46602040803962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#26
18.60.3
17.617.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.3
blue by 4.9
3602
#14
23.60.4
23.823.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Second
5486
#17
14.70.3
14.013.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End4.3
blue by 6.4
1596
#15
21.10.4
18.618.2
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
Third
7816
#16
12.20.3
11.611.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 3.6
2586
#12
15.70.4
14.213.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed