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Red37
498811.4
528221.9
439015.2
Blue64
554720.4
570216.4
611316.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515310203040607080903764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#11
21.90.7
22.421.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
red by 1.5
5547
#37
20.40.3
17.017.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Second
4390
#33
15.20.7
15.214.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End2.7
blue by 1.5
16.80.3
15.716.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Third
4988
#27
11.40.7
10.39.6
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End3.5
blue by 4.9
5702
#38
16.40.3
17.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed