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Red65
587814.2
655820.9
439223.7
Blue49
657317.7
611316.8
771318.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55541020304050607080906549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#10
23.70.9
19.420.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.5
End3.4
red by 5.7
7713
#13
18.00.1
16.816.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.7
Second
20.90.9
19.720.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
red by 3.1
6573
#30
17.70.1
17.717.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End2.8
Third
5878
#35
14.20.9
13.013.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 2.5
16.80.1
16.616.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed