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Red47
523421.1
471516.4
159621.1
Blue26
763817.8
554720.4
528221.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47572030405070804726

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.2
16.516.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
blue by 0.8
5282
#11
21.91.9
21.319.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Second
1596
#15
21.10.2
14.214.4
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
red by 0.6
5547
#37
20.42.1
18.716.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
4715
#24
16.40.2
13.613.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End3.9
blue by 1.4
17.82.1
14.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed