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Red56
553413.6
715011.3
159621.1
Blue45
85718.6
570216.4
598913.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44522030406070805645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#15
21.11.0
18.619.6
Auto4.1
Teleop14.0
End3.0
red by 2.4
857
#26
18.60.3
19.018.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End5.3
Second
5534
#41
13.61.0
12.713.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 2.7
5702
#38
16.40.3
16.716.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Third
7150
#39
11.31.0
10.311.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End1.9
blue by 2.2
5989
#29
13.50.3
13.713.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed