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Red72
523421.1
656929.6
437716.9
Blue52
655820.9
611316.8
724417.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66572040801007252

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
28.028.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End9.0
red by 8.7
20.90.1
20.620.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.0
Second
21.10.7
19.320.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End4.1
red by 3.3
7244
#23
17.80.1
17.016.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
4377
#32
16.90.7
14.715.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End4.5
red by 0.1
16.80.1
16.516.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed