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Red56
608616.8
45317.1
168431.8
Blue61
601913.7
353523.6
720620.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5648203040607080905661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.2
26.226.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.1
End8.2
red by 8.2
3535
#18
23.60.3
19.119.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
Second
453
#16
17.10.2
11.211.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End4.1
blue by 2.9
7206
#11
20.00.3
15.515.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Third
6086
#30
16.80.2
15.215.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.4
red by 3.1
6019
#28
13.70.3
11.211.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed