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Red59
586022.5
515523.8
724716.6
Blue48
554718.7
634422.0
601913.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6259405070805948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
21.521.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End7.5
red by 1.8
22.00.5
23.422.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End5.6
Second
5860
#12
22.50.0
21.921.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
red by 3.9
5547
#24
18.70.9
18.717.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End4.0
Third
7247
#29
16.60.0
15.515.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.5
red by 2.9
6019
#28
13.70.5
13.913.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsEarned