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Red45
555518.3
785911.7
260412.9
Blue52
749124.7
785411.8
78209.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444710203040607080904552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#26
18.30.2
17.417.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 6.4
7491
#21
24.70.5
24.425.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Second
2604
#31
12.90.2
11.211.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.7
End2.7
red by 1.1
7854
#36
11.80.5
11.311.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End3.7
Third
7859
#37
11.70.2
13.012.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.2
red by 1.8
7820
#34
9.80.5
8.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed