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Red44
555518.3
785411.8
49427.1
Blue68
601913.7
586022.5
30228.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57652040801004468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#6
27.10.9
25.124.2
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
blue by 1.0
302
#3
28.20.2
26.626.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End9.2
Second
5555
#26
18.30.9
17.316.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 4.2
5860
#12
22.50.2
21.922.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
Third
7854
#36
11.80.9
11.911.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.3
End3.7
blue by 1.9
6019
#28
13.70.2
13.413.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed91%HAB Docking oddsEarned