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Red60
509014.5
515523.8
49427.1
Blue73
555518.3
716619.9
586022.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66573040507080906073

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#6
27.10.4
24.223.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
red by 4.6
5860
#12
22.50.6
22.122.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
Second
23.80.4
22.121.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End7.5
red by 3.9
7166
#22
19.90.9
15.816.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Third
5090
#38
14.50.4
15.915.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End4.9
blue by 3.8
5555
#26
18.30.6
16.417.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsEarned