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Red52
608616.8
555518.3
554718.7
Blue82
30228.2
45317.1
49427.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566830405080901005282

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#24
18.70.5
18.918.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 9.5
302
#3
28.21.2
26.828.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End9.2
Second
5555
#26
18.30.3
17.016.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 8.8
494
#6
27.11.2
23.825.0
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Third
6086
#30
16.80.3
17.517.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.4
blue by 0.3
453
#16
17.11.2
13.915.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned