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Red40
781316.2
509014.5
477922.8
Blue65
592624.3
285130.4
785911.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48591020304070804065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
22.80.6
16.816.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End6.6
blue by 7.6
30.40.6
25.225.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Second
7813
#33
16.20.6
11.510.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
blue by 8.1
5926
#15
24.30.7
17.718.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End8.8
Third
5090
#38
14.50.6
17.316.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End4.9
red by 2.8
7859
#37
11.70.6
12.613.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned