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Red47
118921.7
601913.7
361914.0
Blue85
285130.4
49427.1
781316.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5675304050607080901001104785

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#14
21.70.4
23.222.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End2.9
blue by 8.7
30.40.3
30.831.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Second
3619
#40
14.00.5
15.014.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 13.2
494
#6
27.10.3
24.925.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Third
6019
#28
13.70.4
14.714.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End3.2
blue by 2.5
7813
#33
16.20.3
15.015.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned