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Red70
7019.5
584321.7
353523.6
Blue77
720620.0
49427.1
586022.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66714060801007077

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#18
23.60.3
22.923.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End5.9
blue by 3.5
494
#6
27.10.7
25.125.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.9
End5.6
Second
5843
#25
21.70.3
21.021.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End3.5
blue by 0.9
5860
#12
22.50.7
21.922.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End7.7
Third
70
#13
19.50.3
18.819.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End5.9
blue by 0.5
7206
#11
20.00.7
19.820.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsEarned