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Red50
521623.5
606723.4
51569.1
Blue82
377022.0
550917.7
341423.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60613040507080905082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
23.823.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.7
red by 0.2
3414
#20
23.30.3
21.421.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Second
23.40.2
23.723.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End7.6
red by 1.4
3770
#14
22.00.3
20.220.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8
Third
5156
#38
9.10.2
9.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End2.9
blue by 8.5
17.70.3
15.816.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8