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Red25
550917.7
65339.1
778410.1
Blue24
66119.1
51569.1
516625.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40440102030506070802524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.9
16.015.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
blue by 7.8
25.51.2
18.617.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
7784
#28
10.19.2
17.88.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
red by 1.0
5156
#38
9.12.0
11.89.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Third
6533
#36
9.11.4
11.710.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 0.1
6611
#31
9.12.0
11.39.4
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed