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Red60
521623.5
481920.6
571227.8
Blue36
51569.1
607316.2
675316.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59422030507080906036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.3
26.426.7
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End9.9
red by 11.4
6753
#32
16.40.4
13.513.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End5.8
Second
23.50.5
14.915.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.7
red by 7.3
6073
#16
16.20.3
16.616.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
4819
#18
20.60.5
14.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.8
red by 11.5
5156
#38
9.10.4
9.99.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed