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Red54
341423.3
571227.8
550917.7
Blue48
553811.2
607119.4
663113.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6440203050607080905448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.5
26.826.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End9.9
red by 8.4
6071
#21
19.40.3
16.416.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.7
End4.6
Second
3414
#20
23.30.5
18.918.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 9.7
6631
#25
13.60.3
12.312.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Third
17.70.5
15.214.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
red by 6.4
5538
#19
11.20.3
9.59.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsMissed