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Red46
481920.6
675316.4
659714.3
Blue52
516625.5
778410.1
43829.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4236203050604652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4819
#18
20.60.4
13.814.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.8
blue by 4.9
25.50.5
19.019.5
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
6753
#32
16.40.4
14.014.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End5.8
red by 6.2
7784
#28
10.10.8
6.87.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
6597
#13
14.30.2
12.012.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.8
red by 5.0
4382
#33
9.20.8
8.69.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed