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Red75
619323.8
481920.6
516625.5
Blue50
550917.7
606723.4
522424.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5857455055606570757550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.4
19.520.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End7.2
red by 1.5
24.00.3
20.920.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End8.7
Second
6193
#11
23.81.4
20.922.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End5.4
red by 0.4
23.40.5
18.618.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End7.6
Third
4819
#18
20.62.3
14.116.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.8
red by 3.0
17.70.3
14.814.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned