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Red21
65339.1
551719.6
77517.6
Blue44
659714.3
522915.1
341423.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284501020405060702144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#26
19.60.4
16.315.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
blue by 3.7
3414
#20
23.30.1
18.418.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Second
6533
#36
9.10.7
7.16.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 6.0
5229
#15
15.10.2
12.111.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
7751
#29
7.60.7
3.62.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.4
End3.3
blue by 6.7
6597
#13
14.30.1
12.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed