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Red60
77517.6
504629.2
560314.1
Blue39
522211.4
522915.1
481920.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3842203050606039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.9
21.922.8
Auto5.8
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 8.6
4819
#18
20.60.0
16.416.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End4.8
Second
5603
#27
14.10.9
11.412.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 1.0
5229
#15
15.10.0
11.911.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
7751
#29
7.61.5
2.94.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.4
End3.3
blue by 3.8
5222
#34
11.40.0
11.010.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed