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Red40
522424.0
377022.0
553811.2
Blue33
551719.6
72137.7
778410.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493620304060704033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
20.720.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End8.7
red by 4.4
5517
#26
19.60.1
15.915.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
3770
#14
22.00.4
15.314.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8
red by 11.9
7784
#28
10.10.1
8.68.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Third
5538
#19
11.20.4
10.39.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.1
red by 3.6
7213
#39
7.70.1
9.89.7
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed