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Red59
606723.4
542424.0
59827.6
Blue40
571227.8
607316.2
72137.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51573040607080905940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#12
24.01.1
21.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End6.3
blue by 3.8
27.81.3
28.827.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End9.9
Second
23.41.1
21.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End7.6
red by 7.1
6073
#16
16.21.3
16.214.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
5982
#35
7.61.1
6.07.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Level
7213
#39
7.72.1
8.86.8
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned66%HAB Docking oddsMissed