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Red65
571227.8
523513.9
602026.8
Blue55
504629.2
551719.6
619323.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62572040801006555

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.0
26.426.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End9.9
blue by 1.4
29.20.1
21.021.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Second
26.80.0
21.721.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End9.6
red by 3.1
6193
#11
23.80.1
19.819.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End5.4
Third
5235
#22
13.90.0
11.011.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 5.7
5517
#26
19.60.1
13.413.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed