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Red48
71506.7
261921.1
341423.3
Blue60
516625.5
551719.6
519320.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458102030405070804860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#20
23.30.4
19.519.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End5.0
blue by 2.3
25.50.3
21.521.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
2619
#17
21.10.4
18.318.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End2.4
red by 1.0
20.20.5
16.416.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End5.5
Third
7150
#37
6.70.7
3.64.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 12.9
5517
#26
19.60.3
17.017.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned