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Red63
607316.2
377022.0
659714.3
Blue45
560314.1
619323.8
66119.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47500204060806345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#14
22.01.2
16.617.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End6.8
blue by 1.8
6193
#11
23.80.2
23.022.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End5.4
Second
6073
#16
16.21.2
14.916.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 2.2
5603
#27
14.10.2
13.613.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.3
Third
6597
#13
14.31.2
12.914.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.8
red by 5.1
6611
#31
9.10.2
10.710.5
Auto5.1
Teleop1.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed