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Red46
755321.2
634421.0
717414.2
Blue52
436218.3
725416.0
607816.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58543040507080904652

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.2
20.720.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 3.0
4362
#13
18.30.0
18.418.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Second
21.00.2
20.420.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End7.2
red by 4.8
6078
#24
16.20.0
16.316.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Third
7174
#34
14.20.2
13.613.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.1
blue by 1.8
16.00.0
16.116.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.9
End2.9