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Red51
569710.1
83514.1
556126.9
Blue30
722513.6
781811.6
778310.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801005130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.7
21.021.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End10.3
red by 13.3
7225
#23
13.60.5
14.013.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End6.1
Second
835
#10
14.10.7
9.910.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End3.1
red by 2.4
7818
#37
11.60.3
10.810.5
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End3.7
Third
5697
#36
10.10.7
9.710.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
7783
#26
10.70.5
9.69.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed