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Red36
526314.3
546026.2
505313.6
Blue48
556126.9
717414.2
309814.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475720304070803648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#11
26.21.0
19.918.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.6
End5.4
blue by 0.6
26.90.4
21.721.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End10.3
Second
5263
#32
14.30.6
11.410.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.5
End2.6
blue by 0.1
3098
#33
14.40.7
17.917.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Third
5053
#30
13.61.0
13.412.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 0.6
7174
#34
14.20.7
14.613.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed75%HAB Docking oddsEarned