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Red35
569710.1
654512.6
6617.5
Blue29
477621.7
779113.4
556216.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060801001203529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#14
17.50.1
15.916.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
blue by 4.2
4776
#19
21.72.4
15.813.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Second
6545
#31
12.60.1
8.38.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
blue by 3.5
5562
#27
16.11.5
14.913.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
5697
#36
10.10.1
9.69.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 3.3
7791
#15
13.47.0
14.67.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed