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Red48
717817.3
366818.9
779113.4
Blue48
661012.7
516716.1
370726.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414230354550554848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#16
18.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 8.1
26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
7178
#29
17.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
red by 1.2
5167
#25
16.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.3
Third
7791
#15
13.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 0.6
6610
#38
12.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed