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Red36
52148.3
634421.0
778310.7
Blue68
759815.8
370726.9
779113.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060801003668

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.5
20.319.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End7.2
blue by 6.0
26.92.2
19.421.6
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
7783
#26
10.70.5
10.49.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 5.1
7598
#18
15.82.0
11.313.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.9
Third
5214
#28
8.30.6
10.29.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End1.2
blue by 5.0
7791
#15
13.42.2
8.710.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed