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Red36
6617.5
505313.6
781811.6
Blue48
619319.8
722015.7
353623.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4355203040506070803648

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#14
17.50.5
16.916.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
blue by 5.8
23.30.2
21.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End6.5
Second
5053
#30
13.60.5
12.011.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 6.2
6193
#12
19.80.4
15.715.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End4.1
Third
7818
#37
11.60.3
11.811.5
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End3.7
blue by 4.0
7220
#22
15.70.4
14.814.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed