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Red56
759815.8
717817.3
755321.2
Blue49
436218.3
607115.2
366818.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4849404550555649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.9
16.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End6.4
red by 2.4
3668
#16
18.90.3
15.315.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Second
7178
#29
17.31.0
15.416.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 0.9
4362
#13
18.30.2
15.215.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Third
7598
#18
15.80.9
13.414.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.9
red by 0.7
6071
#17
15.20.2
15.816.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed