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Red59
634421.0
46812.3
353623.3
Blue67
755321.2
722513.6
654512.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55402060805967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
21.221.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End6.5
red by 2.1
21.22.4
17.820.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Second
21.00.6
19.620.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End7.2
red by 7.4
7225
#23
13.62.4
10.612.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.4
End6.1
Third
468
#21
12.30.5
11.111.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End3.6
blue by 0.3
6545
#31
12.61.9
9.711.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsEarned