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Red50
759815.8
505313.6
654512.6
Blue55
619319.8
83514.1
6617.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152203060705055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7598
#18
15.80.8
14.515.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.9
blue by 4.0
6193
#12
19.80.5
18.819.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End4.1
Second
5053
#30
13.60.8
12.713.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 3.9
66
#14
17.50.4
17.317.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Third
6545
#31
12.60.7
11.612.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
blue by 1.5
835
#10
14.10.4
13.213.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed