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Red56
998813.4
531613.5
659131.1
Blue86
584314.1
525616.5
413027.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040801001205686

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.6
21.722.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End7.4
red by 3.9
27.11.9
25.127.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Second
5316
#13
13.50.6
12.413.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End4.7
blue by 3.0
5256
#14
16.51.9
14.316.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.1
End4.8
Third
9988
#10
13.40.6
12.312.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 0.7
5843
#12
14.11.9
18.320.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned