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Red75
531613.5
546035.2
544812.7
Blue45
998813.4
72269.1
276726.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56553040506070807545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.3
30.732.0
Auto6.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
red by 8.5
26.70.5
27.827.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.6
End8.1
Second
5316
#13
13.51.3
13.114.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End4.7
Level
9988
#10
13.40.5
12.912.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
12.71.3
9.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End4.2
red by 3.6
7226
#16
9.10.5
11.411.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned