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Red36
72269.1
56857.5
546035.2
Blue82
517312.8
413027.1
659131.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587201001503682

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.2
35.133.8
Auto6.1
Teleop21.7
End7.3
red by 4.1
31.10.9
28.629.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Second
7226
#16
9.11.2
10.08.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.7
blue by 18.0
27.10.9
25.726.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Third
5685
#15
7.51.2
9.68.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End1.4
blue by 5.2
5173
#11
12.80.9
13.614.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
25%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed84%HAB Docking oddsEarned